Posts

Why GERS is a pile of pants

Image
An open letter to Kevin Hague Dear Kevin, Kevin Hague said... yes - unclouded by anger and not troubled with supporting data that is an excellent summary, thank you 31 August 2017 at 07:24 I'm glad you agree that I gave ( here ) an excellent summary of your post about GERS on your blog. I summarised your post because I wanted to get behind your vituperation and your avalanche of data, and look at the merit of your arguments. I have to say I'm not impressed. Let's take your five main points:- 1. Professor Murphy asks why the Scottish deficit is so much larger than that of the rest of the UK (the 'deficit gap'). You reply that it's because the difference between what Scotland spends on services and what it collects in revenue is larger that that of the rest of the UK. This answer is vapid: it doesn't explain, it just restates the phenomenon. If you asked an employee of yours why they were late, and they said it was because they hadn't arrived at the state...

Why GERS is right

GERS, as readers will know, is the "Government Expenditure and Revenue for Scotland", and is published yearly. The report for 2016-2017 came out recently, and economist Richard Murphy questioned its accuracy, voicing his early suspicions that these books had been cooked. His claim elicited a vigorous rebuttal from Scottish entrepreneur Kevin Hague, blogging as chokka blog. In my view, Hague's rebuttal, which you can read here , should have used more moderate and factual language, which would surely have made it more persuasive. Instead, he wrote a sarcastic and emotional attack on Richard Murphy's competence, and also included a welter of raw data. This made the thread of Hague's argument difficult to follow, and in the end (in my view) weakened his case. I've therefore re-presented his argument below, leaving out the emotive language and the overly detailed data, in order to make his argument clearer. This is what I think he should have written: Professor Mur...

Silly Scottish/English Jokes

Vile Blogger Stuart Campbell (Wings over Scotland) , for whom I have a high regard, appears to be indisposed for a few days. So since I'm by profession a linguist, here's a Scottish/English joke to cheer him up: Queen Victoria, on a visit to the Highlands, after eating Stu (correction: stew [pun intended]): That was delicious. Tell me, what was in it? Highland Clanperson: Och, weel, ma'am, there's leeks intillit, and potatoes intillit, and... Her Maj: Really lovely! And what, pray, is "intillit"? Highland Clanperson: Och, weel, ma'am, there's leeks intillit, and potatoes intillit, and... The conversation could go on for ever - she's asking about the meaning of the word "intillit", and they're telling her what's in the stew. And that takes us on to Joke 2 about two old besoms hingin' oot the windaes in Auld Reekie (gosh, what a patronising choice of words!), of whom Dr Johnson said, "They'll never agree. They're ar...

Countering media bias

Image
IndyRef2.scot is currently monitoring BBC political output in the expectation of showing bias. In my view, the approach they've taken is unsatisfactory - it's aimed at cheering up the troops and inciting hatred of the BBC, rather than winning over doubters by showing the true facts. A recent case concerned Reporting Scotland's news item about data relating to NHS staffing levels. You can read their criticism of Reporting Scotland here ; below is my suggested rewrite. BBC Reporting Scotland : NHS Staffing Levels : Broadcast on Monday 31st July 2017 This news item relates to a consultation initiated by the Scottish government under the title, "Safe and Effective Staffing in Health and Social Care". The government's aim is to introduce a law requiring health boards to maintain safe staffing levels, thus securing patients' protection and defining providers' responsibilities. This is an aim which it would be difficult to disagree with. The consultation is ...

Says it all

Craig Murray says it all, doesn't he?: "I do not recognise Brexit Britain as the country in which I was born and raised. The UK has become a nasty and mean-spirited place, and the sooner it is broken up the better." (See context).

Flying Pigs and Porky Pies

Astounding stuff on BBC Radio Four News tonight: "Scotland's whisky producers see new opportunity in Brexit," were the words headlining the item in the opening overview of stories. Goody, something new and good is happening! What's the new development, what's changed, what's the new opportunity? After 18 minutes we got the detail: 1. David Mundell, Secretary of State for Scotland, has visited a distillery on Islay. Hardly a new Brexit opportunity. 2. Sarah Smith, our BBC Scotland editor, said that the Scottish whisky industry had seen Brexit as unwelcome, but that now "the mood appears to be changing". However, she didn't present any interview in which anybody said the mood was changing, she didn't play any clips of anybody saying it, in fact she didn't offer any evidence of it at all. She might as well have made it up, and given her lack of evidence, the conclusion that she did is pretty inescapable. 3. A Scotch whisky spokesman said tha...

Muddle-headed neo-liberals

A neo-liberal is one who thinks that people should have maximum freedom of action, unconstrained by the state or institutions. This sounds entirely laudable, until you realise that it undercuts any rule of law ("unconstrained by the state"). A neo-liberal is not a liberal (a person with liberal views), and we mustn't let the similarity of the two terms confuse us. A liberal believes in freedom of action within the existing law. Clearly, then, a battleground arises over what is allowed and not allowed by the law. Neo-liberals want to wear away the constraints of the law, to give themselves more freedom of action, whereas liberals want to use the permissions they already have - embodied in law - to further the interests of their community. It was absorbing, therefore, to hear two fully committed participants, one on each side of this argument, debating Jeremy Corbyn's proposal to make empty property available to those made homeless by the Grenfell Tower disaster. The li...